Best Nba Win Total Bets
SuperBook opens 2020-21 NBA Win Totals
Get Our Expert’s Best NBA Picks ATS & Total for Today. This page gives you winning NBA ATS predictions at no cost. What’s better is that the free picks against the spread come from some of the top handicappers in the industry. Over 90 handicappers have made the cut to be on our site, and many offer free picks. The Best NBA Win Total Bets You Can Make For The 2020-21 Season. By: Brad Rowland Twitter December 15, 2020. With that out of the way, we are offering a six-pack of “best bets”. Oddsmakers have responded accordingly, and many sportsbooks are offering season-win total bets on every club. The SportsLine Projection Model has followed every move and adjusted its power ratings for each NBA club. This model absolutely crushed its top-rated NBA picks last season, returning $3,030 in profit to $100 players. NBA total lines are usually well above 200 in today's NBA making them harder for the betting public to find value. For example, the 2004 Detroit Pistons team was very consistently within 5 points.
The 2020-21 NBA regular season is expected to start on Tuesday Dec. 22 and this year's campaign will be a 72-game schedule, opposed to 82 games.
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook took notice of the news and opened their NBA Win Totals betting market for all 30 teams in the league.
2020-21 NBA Contenders
- Milwaukee Bucks 49.5
- Los Angeles Lakers 46.5
- Boston Celtics 45.5
- Los Angeles Clippers 45.5
Of the above four teams, the Los Angeles Lakers were the only one to participate in last year's NBA Finals as they defeated the Miami Heat at the NBA Bubble from Orlando, Florida.
2020-21 NBA Pretenders
- Detroit Pistons 23.5
- Oklahoma City Thunder 22.5
- New York Knicks 22.5
- Cleveland Cavaliers 22.5
Going .500 in this year's regular season would translate to a 36-36 record and the clubs listed above aren't expected to get nowhwere near that record. Coincidentally, all four of these teams are from the Eastern Conference.
Eastern Conference - 2020-21 Win Totals Odds
Listed below are teams from the Eastern Conference and how the oddsmakers project they'll do based on wins for 2020-21 NBA regular season.
The top eight teams in each conference will make the postseason.
- Milwaukee Bucks 49.5
- Boston Celtics 45.5
- Brooklyn Nets 45.5
- Philadelphia 76ers 45.5
- Miami Heat 44.5
- Toronto Raptors 41.5
- Indiana Pacers 39.5
- Atlanta Hawks 36.5
- Washington Wizards 32.5
- Orlando Magic 31.5
- Chicago Bulls 30.5
- Charlotte Hornets 25.5
- Detroit Pistons 23.5
- New York Knicks 22.5
- Cleveland Cavaliers 22.5
The oddsmakers at the SuperBook believe that only seven teams in the Eastern Conference will finish the 2020-21 NBA regular season above .500 (36-36).
Looking at the projections, seven teams appear to be locks to gain a playoff spot while four others (Wizards, Magic, Bulls) will fight for the eighth and final spot.
And then there are the Pretenders listed above.
Western Conference - 2020-21 Win Totals Odds
Listed below are teams from the Western Conference and how the oddsmakers project they'll do based on wins for 2020-21 NBA regular season.
The top eight teams in each conference will make the postseason.
- Los Angeles Lakers 46.5
- Los Angeles Clippers 45.5
- Denver Nuggets 44.5
- Dallas Mavericks 42.5
- Utah Jazz 42.5
- Portland Trail Blazers 41.5
- Phoenix Suns 38.5
- Golden State Warriors 36.5
- New Orleans Pelicans 36.5
- Houston Rockets 34.5
- Memphis Grizzlies 30.5
- San Antonio Spurs 29.5
- Sacramento Kings 27.5
- Minnesota Timberwolves 28.5
- Oklahoma City Thunder 22.5
Of the three divisions in the Western Conference, the Pacific Division is expected to be the most competitive in the NBA 2020-21 regular season. The Lakers (46.5) and Clippers (45.5) are expected to surpass 40 wins. The Warriors were dealt a serious blow in November as star shooter Klay Thompson was lost for the season with an Achilles' tendon tear as their win total dropped to 36.5. The Suns (38.5) have been given a tad more respect after their recent effort in the NBA Bubble last summer and the acquisition of veteran guard Chris Paul.
Seven of the 15 teams in the West are expected to finish better than .500 by the oddsmakers.
How do I read the over/under line?
For example, the Milwaukee Bucks' win total for 2020-21 season is 49.5. If you believe the Bucks will finish 49-23 or worse, taking the 'under' is the play. For 'over' bettors, the Bucks would have to finish with 50-plus wins to cash tickets.
NBA Win Totals are available for all 30 teams in the league and placing 'over/under' wagers on their season production in the regular season is a great way to follow a team all season.
For the 2020-21 regular season, all teams must play 72 regular season games for the NBA Win Total wagers to be considered live wagers or what's known in the industry as 'Action.' The NBA Win Totals Odds set do not include postseason games.
Unfortunately due to the Coronavirus pandemic, bettors with active Win Total wagers could see their bets refunded since the regular season may not return or be reduced. At the same time, losing wagers will also be refunded.
2020-21 NBA Win Totals Odds
Listed below are the 2020-21 NBA Win Totals Odds in both Ascending and Alphabetical order.
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SuperBook NBA Win Totals Rules
- Teams Must Play at least 69 and no more than 72 regular season games for action
- Forfeitures are deemed a non-played game
- Wagers do not include any Play-In Tournament or Postseason Games
2020-21 NBA Most Regaular-Season Wins Odds
Listed below are the 2020-21 NBA Win Totals Odds.
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2020-21 NBA Most Regaular-Season Losses Odds
Listed below are the 2020-21 NBA Loss Totals Odds.
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Odds Subject to Change - Updated Tue., Dec. 22, 2020
The structure and format for the 2020-21 NBA season has been revealed. The schedule will be released in two halves -- what the league is calling the First Half and the Second Half. The schedule for the First Half, which will run from Dec. 22 to March 4, will be released around the start of training camp, set for Dec. 1. The Second Half of the season will run from March 11 to May 16.
What should we expect from teams in a 72-game season? ESPN betting experts Doug Kezirian, Joe Fortenbaugh and Preston Johnson offer their best bets for the win totals on the board.
Win Totals courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.
Los Angeles Lakers under 47 wins
Johnson: I'm happy to fade the NBA champs in a season starting at least a month earlier than LeBron James wanted it to. There are already rumors flying around that LeBron could sit out the first few weeks, and at the very least he will be resting throughout the 72-game season more frequently for load management. I didn't like the Danny Green trade for Dennis Schroder very much. People still undervalue Green's impact on the basketball court -- even after a playoffs resulting in an NBA title in which Green led the Lakers in net rating.
Now, the rosters aren't whole yet, so it's hard for me to do my own personal projections until we know the results of free agency and get schedules set, but there isn't much that the Lakers can do outside of the midlevel exception to improve their roster. The Clippers, Warriors and Suns in the Pacific Division all will be improved, and throw in other Western Conference teams like the Blazers and Mavericks making impactful moves themselves and it's hard to envision the Lakers duplicating the regular-season success they had a year ago.
Kezirian: This is too high for a team that played deep into the 2020 season by winning the Finals and has already voiced frustration about a short turnaround. I fully expect LeBron and Anthony Davis to pace themselves significantly out of the gate via load management. Plus, I feel like this newly assembled Lakers team treated last season's start with high importance because it knew it needed to evolve as a unit and develop that strong defense. But now they know they can do it, and, frankly, just did it without any home-court advantage.
Additionally, LeBron's track record has shown an indifference to the top seed. Forty-seven wins in this shortened season is 53.5 in a full season. That's a lot for this entire situation, especially with their division improving with Phoenix's trade for Chris Paul and any unknowns that COVID-19 can present. Klay Thompson's injury might switch a loss or two to Golden State into a win, but this is still an under play for me.
Miami Heat under 44
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Fortenbaugh: Miami's home/road splits last season were some of the most polarizing in the league, with the Heat going 29-7 at home and ranking first in offensive rating, versus 15-22 on the road while ranking 20th in offensive rating. This is a well-run organization with elite coaching, but after an October run to the NBA Finals followed by a short offseason, how much will Miami have left in the tank? This total is asking the Heat to win 61.1 percent of its games for a push, something the franchise hasn't done since the LeBron-Wade-Bosh era in 2013-2014.
Philadelphia 76ers over 42.5
Johnson: Bow down to Daryl Morey, who just three weeks after being hired found a way to get out of the $81 million still left over three years to Al Horford while simultaneously trading for much-needed 3-point shooting in Green and Seth Curry. Everyone complained about the fit in Philly with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid alongside Horford and how much the 76ers underachieved... and they still won 43 games in 73 games played! Simmons missed a chunk of games with an injury, as well. The reset with Doc Rivers as head coach is refreshing, and with a more analytically savvy approach and a well-suited roster, I can buy this team getting to 43 again.
Dallas Mavericks over 42
Johnson: I liked this Mavericks over 42 wins bet before the moves they made Wednesday night in the draft with the Josh Green and Tyrell Terry selections and acquiring Josh Richardson from the Sixers. The Mavericks' record last season was the biggest discrepancy in the entire NBA when comparing their actual wins to their expected Pythagorean wins. The Mavs won 43 games, but based on their underlying points scored numbers they performed like a 50-win team. They played in only 75 games. Are you telling me that in Year 3 of Luka Doncic the Mavs can't get to 42-plus wins in a 72-game season?
I think the overreaction to Kristaps Porzingis possibly missing the start of the season is overblown. His win shares per 48 minutes last season was .138, so unless he were to somehow miss the entire season, his value to the Mavs doesn't justify such a drop-off in projected wins.
Memphis Grizzlies under 32.5
Best Nba Win Total Bets 2019
Johnson: I feel like this is being lined as if Jaren Jackson Jr. is going to be playing for Memphis from the get-go. The fact of the matter is, Jackson had knee surgery in August and likely won't be 100 percent. The Grizzlies were a surprise regular-season squad that peaked pre-bubble, but we saw them come down to earth in Orlando. The West is so tough, and I'm having trouble seeing the Grizz duplicate the success from last season without a healthy JJJ against stiffer competition. If they can win at the same rate as they did in 2019, then they'll hit 33 wins exactly. I'm willing to bet that they don't.
Detroit Pistons under 23.5
Johnson: If one thing was clear from NBA draft night it was that Detroit is in full-blown rebuild mode. The Pistons made multiple deals to acquire extra draft picks and either traded away competent players for those picks or took on washed-up contracts. With Blake Griffin and Derrick Rose seemingly next out the door, I'm not sure how a team that won only 20 games in 66 tries last year -- while trying -- is going to hit 24-plus in tank mode. They already had arguably the worst roster in the NBA, and it just got worse.
Best Nba Win Total Bets Odds
Cleveland Cavaliers over 22.5
Kezirian: It's not my favorite play, largely because it takes a leap of faith, but I am leaning to the over. The futures of Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love are key components. Thompson will likely go elsewhere in free agency because Andre Drummond opted in to this season. He was the focal point, since being acquired via trade from the Pistons. Love is annually mentioned in trade rumors and has a checkered injury history. However, if you can pair Drummond with Love to go along with an improving backcourt of Collin Sexton and Darius Garland, you have a frisky team that can snag some wins.
Best Nba Season Win Total Bets
A major component to the discussion is the Cavs no longer have John Beilein, who created a controversy that derailed the season. J.B. Biggerstaff takes over on a permanent basis, and this team seems headed in the right direction. Plus, they drafted Auburn's Isaac Okoro, and the big man could be NBA-ready defensively. This is not a good team, but it's also not a bad team committed to a rebuild.